Skip to content
Housing Unpacked
Topic

Affordability

Why housing costs what it costs: how land, construction, financing, regulation, taxes and required returns combine into the rent a new home must charge.

9 articles

Affordability is the outcome everyone argues about and the input almost nobody sees. A monthly rent is the end of a long chain: the cost of land, the cost of building, the cost of borrowing, the cost of complying with rules, the cost of operating the building, and the return the capital behind it requires. Change one link and the number at the end moves.

Our approach to affordability is arithmetic rather than rhetoric. We ask what a new building must charge to cover its total development cost, its debt service, its operating expenses and the return its investors require, and we compare that required rent with what households can pay. The gap between the two is where most affordability problems live. Every article here measures some piece of it.

  • Why is rent in a new building so much higher than in an older one?
  • How much of a monthly rent covers construction, financing and operations?
  • What would have to change for new housing to be cheaper?
  • Why can’t developers simply build cheaper apartments?
The current analysis

Why a New Apartment Costs $2,000 a Month

We build an illustrative 120-unit apartment project on paper, line by line, and show where every dollar of the rent it requires comes from.

Max BenedictSeptember 15, 202616 min read

$1,996
Required monthly rent per unit for the illustrative project
$202,215
Total development cost per unit
69%
Share of required rent that carries capital (land, building, fees, financing, returns)

The latest in Affordability

See all
  1. Housing 101

    How Supply and Demand Affect Rent

    The rent on an existing apartment is set by the market, not by what it cost to build. New construction is the link between cost and market rent. This lesson explains how that link works and why it matters.

    Max BenedictSep 15, 20266 min read

  2. Housing 101

    Why Investors Require Returns

    The owners of a new building put in the money that absorbs losses first. This lesson explains why that money has a price, how the price is measured, and what happens to construction when it is not paid.

    Max BenedictSep 15, 20266 min read

  3. Housing 101

    What Determines Rent?

    Two different questions: what rent a landlord can charge (set by the market) and what rent a new building needs (set by cost). Where market rent falls short of required rent, nothing gets built.

    Max BenedictSep 15, 20266 min read

  4. Housing 101

    How Developers Determine Whether a Project Works

    Revenue, vacancy, operating expenses, net operating income, yield on cost, cap rate, DSCR, cash-on-cash. The pro forma decides whether a building gets built. If the math does not close, nobody builds.

    Max BenedictSep 15, 20266 min read

  5. Construction Costs

    Why Can't Developers Just Build Cheaper Apartments?

    Cheaper cabinets and counters move the required rent of a new apartment by about $34 a month. Land, parking, building type, fees, time and interest rates move it far more. Here is the scale of each lever.

    Max BenedictSep 15, 202618 min read

  6. Interest Rates

    What Happens When Interest Rates Rise 1%

    A one-point rise in the loan rate adds about $93 a month to the rent our illustrative 120-unit project requires, before investors and construction lenders reprice. We show the arithmetic and the second-order effects.

    Max BenedictSep 15, 202611 min read

Foundational

Start here

The evergreen pieces that explain the mechanics behind everything else in this topic.

  1. Housing 101

    How Supply and Demand Affect Rent

    The rent on an existing apartment is set by the market, not by what it cost to build. New construction is the link between cost and market rent. This lesson explains how that link works and why it matters.

    Sep 15, 20266 min read

  2. Housing 101

    Why Investors Require Returns

    The owners of a new building put in the money that absorbs losses first. This lesson explains why that money has a price, how the price is measured, and what happens to construction when it is not paid.

    Sep 15, 20266 min read

  3. Housing 101

    What Determines Rent?

    Two different questions: what rent a landlord can charge (set by the market) and what rent a new building needs (set by cost). Where market rent falls short of required rent, nothing gets built.

    Sep 15, 20266 min read

  4. Housing 101

    How Developers Determine Whether a Project Works

    Revenue, vacancy, operating expenses, net operating income, yield on cost, cap rate, DSCR, cash-on-cash. The pro forma decides whether a building gets built. If the math does not close, nobody builds.

    Sep 15, 20266 min read

Newsletter

Understand housing differently.

Receive new Housing Unpacked analysis by email when it is published.

By subscribing you agree to receive Housing Unpacked analysis by email. Unsubscribe from any email.